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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.29vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+3.68vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+0.03vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.34-0.65vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.36vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.99+0.06vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.81-0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.79vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.26-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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5.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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3.03Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.35Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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6.36St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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6.06Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.47Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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5.21University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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5.55George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 20.8% | 20.5% | 18.3% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 12.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 24.5% | 22.1% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 20.8% | 19.6% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 25.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 18.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 22.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.