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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+2.07vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.34+1.57vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.81+3.46vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+2.44vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+0.36vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.99+0.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-3.73vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.77vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.26-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.57Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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6.46Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.44St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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5.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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6.04Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.27U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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5.23University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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5.56George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 25.1% | 21.3% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 17.3% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 24.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 25.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 16.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 20.8% | 21.5% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 8.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.