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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.03vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.43+3.13vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+2.53vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.81+2.09vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55-2.22vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.99-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.00vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.66vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.26-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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5.13Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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5.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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6.09Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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2.78Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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5.82Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.34St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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5.28George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 23.7% | 22.9% | 19.5% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Ava Gustafson | 5.9% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 7.9% |
| Sabrina Starck | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 12.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 21.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 31.5% | 22.7% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 14.9% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 7.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 26.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.