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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+1.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.17vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.26+2.40vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.91vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.16vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.43-1.07vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-1.49vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.81-1.80vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.99-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.17U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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5.4George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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4.93Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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5.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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6.2Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.87Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 28.5% | 22.7% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 22.6% | 22.9% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.5% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 7.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 24.1% |
| Ava Gustafson | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| Sabrina Starck | 7.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 11.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 22.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.