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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+1.84vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+3.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.05vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.43+0.83vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.81+1.03vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-0.53vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.59vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.99-2.12vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.26-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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5.19University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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3.05U. S. Naval Academy2.400.3%1st Place
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4.83Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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6.03Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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6.41St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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5.88Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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5.3George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 27.4% | 24.3% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 8.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 25.2% | 22.1% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ava Gustafson | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 21.1% |
| Sabrina Starck | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 23.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 18.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.