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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+1.84vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+3.71vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.99+2.92vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+1.21vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.43-0.20vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.98vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.02vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.81-1.82vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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5.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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5.92Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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5.21George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.8Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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3.02U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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4.98University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.18Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.33St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 28.6% | 22.3% | 19.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sabrina Starck | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 12.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 16.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.2% |
| Ava Gustafson | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 23.8% | 24.5% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 6.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 22.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.