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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.81+5.40vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.99+4.29vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.34+0.43vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+1.40vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55-2.01vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.73vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.42vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-2.52vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.41-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.29Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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3.43Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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5.4George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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2.99Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.27U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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6.58St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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5.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 23.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 19.7% |
| Winborne Majette | 18.7% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 9.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 26.8% | 22.5% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 20.2% | 21.4% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 25.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 10.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.