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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+2.04vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.34+1.54vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+2.57vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+2.45vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.10vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.26-0.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-3.72vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.81-1.58vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.99-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.54Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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5.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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6.45St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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5.1University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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5.54George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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3.28U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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6.42Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.06Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 25.5% | 20.5% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 18.3% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 11.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 24.9% |
| Adra Ivancich | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 9.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 11.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 21.2% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 24.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.