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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.41+4.23vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+1.21vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.34+0.39vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+1.44vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.99+0.92vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.81+0.38vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-3.68vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.26-2.43vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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3.21Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.39Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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5.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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5.92Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.38Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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3.32U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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5.57George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 7.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 20.0% | 24.2% | 18.5% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Winborne Majette | 21.2% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 11.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 17.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 22.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 21.3% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 12.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.