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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.26+4.35vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+4.54vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+2.51vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55-1.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.99vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.43-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.04vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.81-1.80vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.99-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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6.54St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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5.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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2.75Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.01U. S. Naval Academy2.400.3%1st Place
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4.87Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.2Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.82Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 9.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 26.6% |
| Sabrina Starck | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 10.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 27.5% | 26.0% | 18.6% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 27.4% | 21.9% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ava Gustafson | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 22.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.