← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.43+3.93vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.55+0.98vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.06vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+1.44vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.26+0.19vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University0.81+0.18vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.60vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University0.99-2.14vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania1.41-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.93Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
-
2.98Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
-
3.06U. S. Naval Academy2.400.3%1st Place
-
5.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
-
5.19George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
-
6.18Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
-
6.4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
-
5.86Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
-
4.97University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Gustafson | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 6.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 24.1% | 25.5% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 27.0% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Sabrina Starck | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 20.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 24.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 16.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.