Race 8B

truxtun-umstead

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tiare Sierra 6.2% 7.2% 6.6% 7.8% 6.9% 8.6% 8.2% 8.8% 8.6% 8.3% 7.8% 6.9% 5.1% 2.9%
Nathan Jensen 10.2% 10.5% 9.9% 10.5% 10.5% 8.3% 7.6% 9.3% 6.2% 6.2% 4.8% 2.7% 2.0% 1.1%
Jacob Zils 13.2% 11.8% 11.6% 11.3% 10.8% 8.5% 8.1% 6.5% 6.5% 5.1% 3.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Reed McAllister 4.3% 6.2% 5.8% 5.5% 6.7% 7.1% 7.1% 7.8% 9.0% 8.6% 9.3% 8.8% 8.2% 5.7%
Teddy Martin 7.0% 8.1% 8.2% 7.6% 8.0% 8.5% 8.5% 7.2% 8.9% 8.2% 6.6% 5.7% 4.5% 2.9%
JJ Klempen 15.8% 13.2% 13.1% 11.7% 10.6% 10.5% 8.5% 5.8% 4.0% 2.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Luke Harris 10.3% 10.3% 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% 9.3% 9.3% 7.8% 6.2% 6.1% 5.9% 3.9% 2.2% 1.1%
Jedidiah Bechtel 9.8% 7.8% 8.6% 8.3% 7.5% 7.8% 7.7% 10.0% 8.2% 6.8% 6.5% 6.0% 3.6% 1.5%
Joshua Dillon 5.3% 5.6% 6.9% 6.5% 6.7% 7.4% 7.4% 7.3% 7.4% 9.1% 9.2% 8.3% 7.3% 5.3%
Sam Riley 4.9% 6.0% 5.9% 5.8% 5.9% 5.2% 6.7% 6.8% 8.2% 8.0% 9.0% 10.5% 8.8% 8.2%
Gavin Sanborn 3.9% 4.8% 4.0% 5.0% 4.8% 5.1% 5.9% 6.4% 7.0% 7.8% 10.0% 10.8% 12.4% 12.2%
Maya Conway 3.2% 3.7% 3.9% 4.5% 4.5% 5.5% 5.2% 6.4% 7.0% 9.2% 9.0% 11.8% 13.2% 12.8%
Marcus Adam 3.2% 2.4% 3.4% 3.6% 4.0% 4.0% 4.3% 4.9% 5.7% 7.0% 7.4% 11.7% 14.5% 23.8%
Jasper Waldman 2.4% 2.5% 3.1% 2.6% 4.0% 4.1% 5.5% 5.0% 7.0% 7.0% 9.1% 10.1% 15.8% 22.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.