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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.60+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.72+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of Florida-1.10+2.52vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.52+0.73vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.56-3.01vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.41-1.44vs Predicted
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7Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Jacksonville University0.600.2%1st Place
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2.92University of Miami0.720.2%1st Place
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5.52University of Florida-1.100.0%1st Place
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4.73University of Central Florida-0.520.1%1st Place
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1.99University of South Florida1.560.4%1st Place
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4.56Embry-Riddle University-0.410.1%1st Place
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5.19Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darby Smith | 18.8% | 20.7% | 21.2% | 20.7% | 11.4% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Long | 18.8% | 24.4% | 24.8% | 16.6% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Ayden Feria | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 21.5% | 39.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 5.0% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 20.1% | 23.4% | 16.2% |
| Efe Guder | 43.9% | 28.2% | 17.1% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 6.0% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 22.2% | 12.3% |
| Nathan Hjort | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 23.1% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.