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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.85+7.06vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.58vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+2.44vs Predicted
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4Washington College3.07+0.64vs Predicted
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5Penn State University0.99+5.87vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware0.41+6.43vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-0.33+6.95vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-3.04vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40+5.01vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University1.95-2.11vs Predicted
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11Drexel University1.75-2.51vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-8.77vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College1.73-4.38vs Predicted
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14Princeton University1.10-3.58vs Predicted
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15Villanova University1.80-6.61vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.61-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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5.58University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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5.44Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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4.64Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.87Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Delaware0.410.0%1st Place
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13.95Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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14.01Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.89Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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8.49Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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3.23U. S. Naval Academy3.670.3%1st Place
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8.62Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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10.42Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.39Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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9.02Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John O'Riordan | 2.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Michael Russom | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bennung | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
| Suzanne Reynolds | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 21.5% | 12.4% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 24.4% | 39.0% |
| Don Hause III | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 12.6% | 24.0% | 39.4% |
| Paul Stevens | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Joan Boyle | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Michael Grove | 26.8% | 20.4% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Sayre | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.