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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+6.91vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+4.02vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.40+3.12vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.29+6.28vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.44+1.65vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.98-0.69vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.56+1.31vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14-1.64vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.18-2.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.39-4.18vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.07-4.24vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.27-2.85vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.95-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.995.9%1st Place
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6.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6810.9%1st Place
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6.12University of Southern California1.4010.0%1st Place
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10.28SUNY Maritime College0.292.5%1st Place
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6.65George Washington University1.447.5%1st Place
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5.31Fordham University1.9812.6%1st Place
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5.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7712.8%1st Place
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9.31University of Vermont0.563.9%1st Place
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7.36Boston University1.146.9%1st Place
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7.52Cornell University1.186.0%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Naval Academy1.397.8%1st Place
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7.76Northeastern University1.076.0%1st Place
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10.15Princeton University0.272.5%1st Place
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8.25Rollins College0.954.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Luke Harris | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Marcus Adam | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 25.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 12.8% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 13.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Pilar Cundey | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
| Teddy Martin | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 23.8% |
| Milo Miller | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.