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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+4.44vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.84+5.78vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.03+4.16vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.55+1.50vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.51+3.82vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+0.39vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.19vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.01-0.89vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-3.06vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.30-0.31vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.62-2.27vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.92-0.98vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-1.30vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.52-1.54vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.77+0.28vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.26-1.56vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.16Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.5Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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6.39Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.11Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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11.02Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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12.46Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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15.28McGill University-0.770.0%1st Place
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14.44Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 14.9% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 13.4% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 3.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 4.8% |
| Ella Beauregard | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 9.5% |
| Cecilia Muller | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 9.8% | 18.2% | 52.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 27.6% | 26.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.