← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.55+4.28vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College1.51+6.93vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University2.03+4.16vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.43+1.84vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.48+0.50vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College0.92+5.30vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.30+2.73vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont0.76+3.39vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.29-2.58vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.84-2.28vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.25vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.62-3.42vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-6.06vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy0.52-1.51vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.01-7.79vs Predicted
-
16McGill University-0.77-0.61vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-0.26-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.28Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
8.93Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
-
7.16Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
5.84Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
5.5Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
-
11.3Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
-
9.73Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
-
11.39University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
6.42Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
7.72University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
8.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
-
8.58Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
-
6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
12.49Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
-
7.21Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
15.39McGill University-0.770.0%1st Place
-
14.38Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 4.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 8.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Cecilia Muller | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 19.6% | 51.7% |
| Penelope Weekes | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 12.9% | 25.5% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.