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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+5.97vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+4.16vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+4.83vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.30+5.75vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.48+0.50vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43-0.09vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.52+5.32vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.55-2.68vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-0.20vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.62-1.46vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-4.09vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.01-4.79vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-1.30vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.92-2.77vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-6.00vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.26-1.59vs Predicted
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17McGill University-0.77-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.16Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.5Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.91Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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12.32Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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5.32Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.21Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.7University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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11.23Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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14.41Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
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15.44McGill University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 6.7% |
| Sarah Young | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.8% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 5.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Penelope Weekes | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 28.0% | 26.6% |
| Cecilia Muller | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 18.7% | 54.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.