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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+5.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.48+3.53vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+4.24vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84+3.83vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43+0.65vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.55-0.45vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.30+2.77vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.62+0.41vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.51+0.18vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-3.25vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.25vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76-0.44vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.52-0.56vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.92-2.78vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.29-8.71vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.77-0.59vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.26-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.53Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.24Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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5.65Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.55Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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12.44Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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11.22Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.29Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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15.41McGill University-0.770.0%1st Place
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14.43Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 5.1% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 8.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 3.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Muller | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 20.1% | 51.3% |
| Penelope Weekes | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 26.1% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.