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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+4.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.71vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+4.18vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.43+1.79vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+1.08vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.51+3.15vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.55-1.62vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.76+2.77vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.30-0.30vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-3.08vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.26+2.39vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.62-4.28vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.87-2.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-6.39vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.52-3.59vs Predicted
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17McGill University-0.77-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.18Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.79Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.08Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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5.38Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.99Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.77University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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14.39Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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11.34Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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12.41Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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15.39McGill University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| bella casaretto | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Young | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 4.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 26.1% | 29.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Fear | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 2.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 8.1% |
| Cecilia Muller | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 19.7% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.