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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.68+4.59vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.10+8.39vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+2.00vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware0.41+8.41vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.75+3.56vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.74vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-1.48vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University1.95-0.27vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.80-0.75vs Predicted
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10Penn State University0.99+0.91vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.61-2.16vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.85-3.73vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-0.33+0.95vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College1.73-5.52vs Predicted
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15Washington College3.07-10.33vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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10.39Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
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5.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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12.41University of Delaware0.410.0%1st Place
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8.56Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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3.26U. S. Naval Academy3.670.3%1st Place
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5.52Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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7.73Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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8.25Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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10.91Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
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8.84Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.27Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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13.95Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.48Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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4.67Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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14.17Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Russom | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 2.7% |
| Don Hause III | 12.2% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Suzanne Reynolds | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 19.3% | 19.8% | 13.1% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Grove | 25.5% | 20.5% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sayre | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bennung | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Victoria Miller | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| John O'Riordan | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 23.8% | 36.4% |
| Zachary Schippe | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 14.0% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 25.4% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.