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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+4.28vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+3.66vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.95+5.55vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+3.10vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.29+5.16vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-0.01vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.07+0.77vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.990.00vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.39-2.13vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.27+0.07vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.56-1.77vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.40-6.05vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.18-5.45vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.44-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Fordham University1.9812.2%1st Place
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5.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7711.6%1st Place
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8.55Rollins College0.954.9%1st Place
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7.1Boston University1.147.4%1st Place
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10.16SUNY Maritime College0.292.8%1st Place
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5.99St. Mary's College of Maryland1.689.9%1st Place
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7.77Northeastern University1.076.0%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.995.9%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Naval Academy1.397.2%1st Place
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10.07Princeton University0.273.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Vermont0.564.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Southern California1.4010.3%1st Place
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7.55Cornell University1.186.9%1st Place
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6.8George Washington University1.447.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Milo Miller | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Marcus Adam | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 23.4% |
| Nathan Jensen | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| Teddy Martin | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Jasper Waldman | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 24.6% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 14.8% |
| Luke Harris | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Pilar Cundey | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.