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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+6.03vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.55+3.35vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.78vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.76+7.61vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.30+4.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+2.77vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.48-1.41vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84-0.37vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.01-1.62vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.52+2.33vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-4.57vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.62-3.39vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.43-7.17vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.26+0.44vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-6.01vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.77-0.64vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.87-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.35Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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5.59Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.38Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.33Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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6.43Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.83Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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14.44Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.99Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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15.36McGill University-0.770.0%1st Place
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11.28Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 5.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 7.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| bella casaretto | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 13.4% | 26.6% | 30.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Cecilia Muller | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 21.0% | 49.6% |
| Natalie Fear | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.