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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+4.32vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.30vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.39+4.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+3.17vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.57+4.68vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.63-3.41vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+3.61vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College0.60+0.37vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52-3.48vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.54-1.23vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.28-4.66vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.73-7.08vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.00-5.82vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-4.90vs Predicted
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16McGill University-1.50-1.58vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.67-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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3.59Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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11.61Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.37Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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6.52Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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7.34Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.92Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.1Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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14.42McGill University-1.500.0%1st Place
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14.7Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 11.6% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Laura Hamilton | 23.0% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 22.8% | 17.2% | 4.1% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Sidney Moyer | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Alex Anderson | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 31.3% | 41.9% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 26.5% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.