← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.90+4.30vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.28vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College0.60+6.52vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+3.17vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.52+1.64vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.63-2.42vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College0.36+3.31vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College1.39-1.15vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.00-0.83vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.28-2.60vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.73-5.09vs Predicted
-
12Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-0.45vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.54-4.33vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.57-5.51vs Predicted
-
16McGill University-1.50-1.57vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-1.67-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.3Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
-
5.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
9.52Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
-
7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
-
6.64Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
3.58Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
-
10.31Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
6.85Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
-
8.17Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
-
7.4Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
-
5.91Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
-
11.55Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
-
9.67University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
-
9.49University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
14.43McGill University-1.500.0%1st Place
-
14.73Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Laura Slovensky | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 23.1% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 1.5% |
| Charlotte West | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Sidney Moyer | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 21.5% | 15.4% | 4.5% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Alex Anderson | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 32.9% | 41.1% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 26.3% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.