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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.20vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.00+6.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+2.47vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.73+2.05vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.39+2.00vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52+0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.57+2.62vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63-4.53vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.28-1.77vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College0.60-0.46vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.54-1.35vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-4.95vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.36-2.77vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-2.49vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.67-1.33vs Predicted
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17McGill University-1.50-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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5.47Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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6.05Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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6.68Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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3.47Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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7.23Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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9.54Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
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10.23Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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11.51Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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14.67Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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14.49McGill University-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Foley | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 25.4% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Laura Slovensky | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 7.3% | 1.3% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 20.7% | 14.4% | 4.2% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 27.8% | 50.1% |
| Alex Anderson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 31.6% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.