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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.14vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+1.53vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College0.60+6.49vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+2.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.73+0.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+1.11vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.28+0.39vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.90-2.73vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.00-0.82vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.39-2.94vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.54-1.35vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-0.44vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.57-3.45vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-4.82vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.67-1.33vs Predicted
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17McGill University-1.50-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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3.53Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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9.49Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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6.71Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.98Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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9.65University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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11.56Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.18Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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14.67Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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14.5McGill University-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 11.8% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 24.7% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte West | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 4.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 28.6% | 49.5% |
| Alex Anderson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 10.1% | 31.1% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.