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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.63+2.58vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+5.12vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.73+3.13vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.31+0.57vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.00+2.43vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.60+2.64vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.57+1.54vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.90-4.39vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.28-3.49vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.14-1.20vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.36-2.73vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.52-7.33vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-3.47vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.67-1.36vs Predicted
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17McGill University-1.50-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
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6.13Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.57Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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5.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.64Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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5.61Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.51Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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10.27Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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6.67Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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11.53Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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14.64Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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14.47McGill University-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 22.6% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 14.2% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Foley | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 8.4% | 1.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 0.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 4.4% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 26.8% | 50.1% |
| Alex Anderson | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 10.2% | 29.9% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.