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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.23vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.73+3.91vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+0.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+3.15vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+1.61vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+5.36vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.57+2.46vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College0.60+1.13vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.90-3.56vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.31-5.57vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.00-2.92vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.28-4.69vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.14-2.39vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.67-0.60vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College-0.81-3.00vs Predicted
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17McGill University-1.50-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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5.91Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.62Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
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6.61Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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11.36Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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9.13Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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5.44Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.43Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.31Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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14.4Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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13.0Connecticut College-0.810.0%1st Place
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14.26McGill University-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 22.8% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 4.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Foley | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 15.1% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sidney Moyer | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 1.5% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 13.8% | 24.8% | 42.0% |
| Viola Henry | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 22.3% | 22.3% | 14.8% |
| Alex Anderson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 13.9% | 27.3% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.