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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+5.46vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+1.59vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.31vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.28+3.37vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.14+5.65vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+5.40vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.73-0.95vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.57+1.29vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-2.08vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.90-4.45vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.31-7.64vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College0.60-3.69vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.00-5.93vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.67-0.56vs Predicted
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16McGill University-1.50-1.79vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College-0.81-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.59Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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5.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.37Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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11.4Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.05Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
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5.55Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.36Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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9.31Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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14.44Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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14.21McGill University-1.500.0%1st Place
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13.02Connecticut College-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 23.8% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 0.8% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 18.1% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 25.7% | 42.5% |
| Alex Anderson | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 28.2% | 37.8% |
| Viola Henry | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 22.6% | 22.2% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.