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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.68+4.50vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.22vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University1.95+4.87vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.85+4.32vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+0.11vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware0.41+6.41vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.61+2.01vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.10+2.34vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-3.56vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College1.73-1.38vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.80-2.71vs Predicted
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12Penn State University0.99-1.23vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.75-4.56vs Predicted
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14Washington College3.07-9.46vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-0.33-1.04vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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3.22U. S. Naval Academy3.670.3%1st Place
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7.87Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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8.32Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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5.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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12.41University of Delaware0.410.0%1st Place
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9.01Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.34Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
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5.44Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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8.62Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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8.29Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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10.77Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
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8.44Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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4.54Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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13.96Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
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14.15Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Russom | 8.8% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 27.0% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| John O'Riordan | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Don Hause III | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Suzanne Reynolds | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 19.8% | 18.7% | 12.4% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Sayre | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bennung | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 3.7% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 14.4% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 12.9% | 24.5% | 37.7% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 24.8% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.