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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College0.60+8.16vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+1.60vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.40vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+3.14vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+1.55vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.31-1.57vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.28+0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.14+2.53vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.90-3.54vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.00-1.78vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+0.21vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57-2.64vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.73-7.08vs Predicted
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14McGill University-1.50+0.17vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.81-2.02vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.67-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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3.6Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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5.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
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6.55Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.43Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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7.36Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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5.46Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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11.21Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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5.92Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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14.17McGill University-1.500.0%1st Place
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12.98Connecticut College-0.810.0%1st Place
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14.52Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Hurwitz | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 22.3% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 16.3% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
| Audrey Foley | 11.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 9.9% | 2.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Anderson | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 15.8% | 27.8% | 34.7% |
| Viola Henry | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 22.3% | 22.9% | 14.5% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 24.7% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.