Race 1A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Peter Foley 16.3% 16.4% 13.1% 16.2% 12.7% 11.7% 8.8% 4.1% 0.7%
Dylan Sih 9.3% 12.5% 13.4% 13.5% 15.3% 14.1% 10.8% 8.7% 2.4%
Kelly Holthus 22.1% 19.6% 16.4% 14.3% 11.5% 9.3% 5.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Matheo Graham-capasso 16.2% 15.2% 16.3% 13.9% 13.9% 10.2% 9.2% 4.4% 0.7%
Emma Tallman 16.0% 16.9% 14.6% 12.9% 11.7% 12.1% 9.0% 5.5% 1.3%
Charlie Herrick 5.9% 6.4% 9.4% 8.4% 13.0% 12.9% 20.3% 19.4% 4.3%
Hank Seum 7.8% 8.4% 11.5% 10.8% 13.5% 15.6% 16.7% 12.0% 3.7%
Ricky Miller 5.3% 3.6% 3.6% 8.2% 6.4% 11.4% 15.6% 32.6% 13.3%
Zachary Aronson 1.1% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 2.7% 4.4% 11.9% 73.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.