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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University2.12+2.84vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.45+1.46vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.87+1.40vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.08-0.12vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.04-1.03vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.25-0.43vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.51-1.90vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.75-1.52vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.68-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Florida State University2.120.2%1st Place
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3.46Tulane University2.450.2%1st Place
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4.4Stanford University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.88Tulane University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.97College of Charleston2.040.2%1st Place
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5.57University of Wisconsin1.250.1%1st Place
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5.1Jacksonville University1.510.1%1st Place
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6.48Rice University0.750.1%1st Place
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8.29Texas A&M University-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Foley | 17.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Kelly Holthus | 17.7% | 21.7% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Sih | 12.6% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 16.4% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 15.5% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Charlie Herrick | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 4.1% |
| Hank Seum | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 3.6% |
| Ricky Miller | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 32.5% | 13.8% |
| Zachary Aronson | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 11.5% | 73.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.