Race 3A

open-sugar-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Peter Foley 16.2% 15.3% 14.5% 15.7% 12.8% 11.2% 9.0% 4.7% 0.6%
Dylan Sih 9.5% 12.3% 14.0% 13.1% 14.1% 14.2% 13.5% 7.4% 1.9%
Hank Seum 8.3% 7.6% 11.4% 11.6% 12.3% 14.6% 17.5% 13.8% 2.9%
Kelly Holthus 22.3% 21.5% 16.8% 15.3% 10.1% 7.8% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3%
Emma Tallman 15.9% 16.8% 14.7% 12.3% 13.2% 10.5% 9.4% 6.2% 1.0%
Matheo Graham-capasso 16.1% 14.0% 15.9% 14.8% 14.3% 11.6% 8.8% 3.7% 0.8%
Charlie Herrick 6.6% 6.5% 7.0% 9.5% 11.7% 16.6% 18.1% 18.2% 5.8%
Zachary Aronson 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 2.3% 3.3% 4.2% 12.0% 73.2%
Ricky Miller 4.0% 5.1% 4.4% 6.0% 9.2% 10.2% 14.9% 32.7% 13.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.