Race 4A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelly Holthus 22.5% 19.2% 16.0% 15.0% 11.7% 7.6% 5.1% 2.5% 0.4%
Emma Tallman 11.8% 14.9% 13.9% 14.3% 15.4% 12.4% 10.4% 5.3% 1.6%
Matheo Graham-capasso 15.7% 13.6% 15.7% 13.8% 13.5% 11.8% 11.2% 4.3% 0.4%
Peter Foley 16.3% 16.7% 15.6% 15.0% 12.7% 11.6% 8.1% 3.1% 0.9%
Hank Seum 9.0% 10.3% 12.4% 11.8% 11.6% 12.6% 15.5% 12.6% 4.2%
Ricky Miller 4.1% 4.1% 5.6% 6.7% 7.3% 10.8% 15.1% 33.4% 12.9%
Charlie Herrick 6.9% 6.6% 7.3% 9.1% 9.8% 17.1% 17.5% 20.6% 5.1%
Zachary Aronson 1.2% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 3.9% 12.5% 73.2%
Dylan Sih 12.5% 13.7% 12.3% 12.6% 15.1% 13.6% 13.2% 5.7% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.