Race 5A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelly Holthus 22.8% 20.6% 15.5% 15.5% 11.2% 7.7% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Emma Tallman 12.1% 14.4% 14.9% 16.5% 14.3% 11.9% 9.2% 5.3% 1.4%
Peter Foley 16.4% 16.1% 14.9% 13.8% 14.9% 12.2% 8.2% 3.1% 0.4%
Hank Seum 9.6% 10.4% 11.5% 11.4% 13.1% 15.1% 15.6% 11.1% 2.2%
Ricky Miller 4.4% 4.8% 7.3% 7.5% 9.0% 12.0% 16.8% 25.3% 12.9%
William Styslinger 4.5% 3.4% 5.4% 6.8% 8.0% 10.1% 19.3% 30.2% 12.3%
Matheo Graham-capasso 15.6% 15.5% 15.1% 14.5% 14.6% 12.6% 8.1% 3.5% 0.5%
Dylan Sih 13.6% 13.6% 13.8% 12.2% 12.7% 14.2% 12.4% 6.1% 1.4%
Zachary Aronson 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 4.2% 5.1% 14.2% 68.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.