Race 6A

open-sugar-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelly Holthus 22.9% 19.9% 16.9% 15.6% 9.6% 8.9% 4.6% 1.6% 0.0%
Dylan Sih 9.2% 12.6% 14.6% 14.6% 15.5% 15.4% 10.1% 6.3% 1.7%
Peter Foley 16.4% 16.1% 13.9% 16.4% 14.5% 10.7% 8.8% 2.6% 0.6%
Emma Tallman 15.6% 15.2% 16.4% 14.4% 14.2% 11.3% 8.9% 3.4% 0.6%
Matheo Graham-capasso 16.8% 18.3% 15.4% 11.3% 13.6% 12.3% 6.8% 4.2% 1.3%
William Styslinger 3.9% 4.2% 5.3% 6.5% 9.0% 11.0% 19.2% 28.9% 12.0%
Ricky Miller 4.2% 3.8% 5.1% 7.0% 7.9% 12.1% 20.2% 28.1% 11.6%
Hank Seum 9.8% 8.9% 10.9% 12.1% 13.2% 14.8% 15.2% 12.2% 2.9%
Zachary Aronson 1.2% 1.0% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.5% 6.2% 12.7% 69.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.