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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.45+2.23vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.12+1.96vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.04+0.95vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.08-0.20vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.87-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.72+0.39vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.75-0.61vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.51-3.06vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.68-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Tulane University2.450.2%1st Place
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3.96Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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3.95College of Charleston2.040.2%1st Place
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3.8Tulane University2.080.2%1st Place
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4.16Stanford University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Wisconsin0.720.0%1st Place
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6.39Rice University0.750.0%1st Place
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4.94Jacksonville University1.510.1%1st Place
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8.19Texas A&M University-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Holthus | 22.7% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 11.4% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 15.4% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 17.0% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Sih | 13.7% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| William Styslinger | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 29.2% | 12.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 20.3% | 28.1% | 11.8% |
| Hank Seum | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 2.8% |
| Zachary Aronson | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 13.0% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.