Race 8A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelly Holthus 22.7% 20.0% 16.5% 16.0% 10.1% 8.2% 5.0% 1.5% 0.0%
Peter Foley 11.8% 17.3% 16.5% 15.2% 14.8% 11.8% 7.5% 4.1% 1.0%
Dylan Sih 12.8% 12.8% 13.7% 13.1% 16.1% 14.7% 11.0% 4.6% 1.2%
Matheo Graham-capasso 16.8% 15.1% 15.8% 16.6% 12.4% 11.6% 7.6% 3.5% 0.6%
Emma Tallman 16.1% 17.6% 15.3% 11.3% 13.3% 13.2% 7.6% 4.3% 1.3%
William Styslinger 4.2% 3.5% 5.4% 6.9% 9.2% 10.8% 19.0% 28.9% 12.1%
Ricky Miller 4.3% 4.1% 4.7% 7.5% 7.3% 11.5% 20.7% 28.1% 11.8%
Hank Seum 10.1% 8.8% 10.2% 11.7% 14.1% 15.0% 15.3% 12.1% 2.7%
Zachary Aronson 1.2% 0.8% 1.9% 1.7% 2.7% 3.2% 6.3% 12.9% 69.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.