Race 9A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Dylan Sih 13.6% 10.9% 12.6% 15.1% 14.5% 12.6% 13.1% 6.4% 1.2%
Peter Foley 12.0% 15.8% 15.5% 14.1% 14.8% 13.0% 7.9% 6.2% 0.7%
Charlie Herrick 6.1% 6.5% 7.8% 10.3% 10.6% 13.8% 20.0% 20.4% 4.5%
Matheo Graham-capasso 16.0% 15.7% 16.6% 14.7% 12.9% 10.3% 8.9% 4.1% 0.8%
Emma Tallman 15.4% 18.0% 14.2% 12.3% 12.6% 11.7% 8.9% 5.8% 1.1%
Kelly Holthus 23.1% 19.6% 16.8% 14.5% 11.3% 8.4% 4.1% 2.2% 0.0%
Hank Seum 8.0% 8.4% 10.0% 11.5% 12.8% 17.2% 15.5% 13.0% 3.6%
Ricky Miller 4.9% 4.0% 5.0% 5.8% 8.1% 10.6% 16.2% 31.9% 13.5%
Zachary Aronson 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 5.4% 10.0% 74.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.