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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+5.68vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+3.82vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.99+3.67vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.71-0.20vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.02+0.87vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+3.89vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.05+7.05vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.38-0.66vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.54+1.84vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.93+0.63vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-1.17vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.73-1.76vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.81-5.73vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-2.03vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.65-1.59vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.18-6.08vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.16-4.43vs Predicted
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18Rollins College-0.13-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Roger Williams University1.978.6%1st Place
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5.82Georgetown University2.2011.2%1st Place
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6.67Brown University1.998.9%1st Place
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3.8Yale University2.7121.4%1st Place
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5.87Tulane University2.0210.0%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University1.223.8%1st Place
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14.05University of Vermont-0.050.9%1st Place
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7.34Jacksonville University-1.386.8%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University0.542.8%1st Place
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10.63George Washington University0.932.9%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island0.993.2%1st Place
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10.24Clemson University0.732.6%1st Place
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7.27College of Charleston1.817.3%1st Place
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11.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.321.8%1st Place
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13.41Christopher Newport University0.651.5%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Naval Academy1.183.8%1st Place
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12.57Northwestern University0.161.5%1st Place
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14.21Rollins College-0.130.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.4% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Ella Towner | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 23.5% |
| Emily Allen | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 17.6% |
| Ava Farley | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Grace Bray | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% |
| Julia Scott | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.