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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.63+1.24vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College2.88+1.17vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+0.38vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.90-0.82vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University1.95-0.41vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.52-0.90vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.21-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24University of Pennsylvania3.630.4%1st Place
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3.17Ocean County College2.880.2%1st Place
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3.38Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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3.18Princeton University2.900.2%1st Place
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4.59Rutgers University1.950.1%1st Place
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5.1Drexel University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.34Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halsey Richartz | 39.4% | 25.6% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 16.6% | 21.2% | 22.3% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 13.9% | 19.9% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 9.1% | 1.5% |
| Allison Tracy | 18.5% | 17.8% | 23.2% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 6.6% | 1.2% |
| Cassie Botti | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 23.6% | 26.0% | 9.4% |
| Andrew Bergan | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 35.6% | 16.8% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 14.6% | 69.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.