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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+4.37vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.24vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.10+6.58vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware0.41+7.41vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-0.85vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.99+3.92vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.85+0.09vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.80-0.74vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.07-5.36vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.61-2.11vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College1.73-3.43vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.75-4.59vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University1.95-6.21vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.91vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-0.33-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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3.24U. S. Naval Academy3.670.3%1st Place
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10.58Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
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12.41University of Delaware0.410.0%1st Place
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5.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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10.92Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
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8.09Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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8.26Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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4.64Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.89Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.57Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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8.41Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.79Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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14.09Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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14.03Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Tonachel | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 25.5% | 20.5% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 3.0% |
| Suzanne Reynolds | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 23.1% | 10.6% |
| Don Hause III | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bennung | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 4.1% |
| John O'Riordan | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sayre | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 13.9% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Schippe | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 21.5% | 42.3% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 22.9% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.