Race 10A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matheo Graham-capasso 15.6% 15.0% 14.3% 14.9% 14.0% 11.3% 9.0% 4.8% 1.1%
Emma Tallman 12.0% 14.4% 14.3% 14.4% 14.9% 13.4% 9.9% 4.9% 1.8%
Kelly Holthus 22.7% 19.8% 16.2% 13.0% 11.2% 9.3% 6.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Dylan Sih 12.4% 14.1% 13.6% 13.5% 14.0% 12.8% 10.9% 7.2% 1.5%
Hank Seum 8.6% 11.1% 11.6% 12.3% 10.6% 12.9% 16.1% 12.6% 4.2%
Ricky Miller 3.8% 3.3% 7.0% 6.1% 7.9% 10.0% 16.3% 32.7% 12.9%
Charlie Herrick 6.9% 5.7% 7.9% 9.3% 10.6% 15.5% 18.5% 20.9% 4.7%
Zachary Aronson 1.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9% 2.8% 2.7% 4.3% 12.2% 72.9%
Peter Foley 16.8% 15.9% 13.8% 14.6% 14.0% 12.1% 8.7% 3.3% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.