Race 11A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Emma Tallman 15.2% 14.4% 12.1% 16.2% 14.8% 10.3% 10.6% 6.1% 0.3%
Charlie Herrick 4.8% 5.6% 8.4% 9.0% 12.8% 13.5% 19.0% 20.4% 6.5%
Kelly Holthus 21.5% 20.4% 16.1% 14.8% 11.5% 9.1% 4.8% 1.6% 0.2%
Matheo Graham-capasso 16.1% 15.1% 15.3% 15.1% 13.3% 12.0% 8.3% 3.7% 1.1%
Dylan Sih 13.6% 14.5% 14.5% 11.4% 12.8% 13.8% 10.7% 6.8% 1.9%
Hank Seum 7.8% 9.7% 11.5% 11.1% 12.7% 16.7% 15.5% 12.7% 2.3%
Ricky Miller 4.0% 3.4% 5.5% 6.7% 6.9% 10.6% 18.1% 31.7% 13.1%
Peter Foley 16.2% 15.8% 14.9% 14.1% 12.6% 11.8% 8.8% 5.0% 0.8%
Zachary Aronson 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 2.6% 2.2% 4.2% 12.0% 73.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.