Race 12A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Emma Tallman 15.5% 14.7% 12.9% 15.0% 14.0% 11.5% 10.4% 5.5% 0.5%
Matheo Graham-capasso 12.0% 14.9% 14.7% 14.5% 15.6% 11.3% 9.8% 5.5% 1.7%
Kelly Holthus 22.9% 19.3% 16.0% 13.6% 12.3% 8.5% 6.0% 1.3% 0.1%
Peter Foley 16.5% 16.5% 15.8% 14.4% 11.9% 11.9% 8.5% 3.9% 0.6%
Charlie Herrick 6.3% 8.8% 9.6% 9.9% 10.3% 13.4% 17.3% 17.5% 6.9%
Ricky Miller 4.0% 3.4% 5.5% 7.3% 7.8% 9.7% 15.8% 33.5% 13.0%
Dylan Sih 12.1% 12.7% 13.9% 12.5% 13.5% 16.5% 11.6% 6.0% 1.2%
Hank Seum 9.6% 8.9% 9.9% 10.9% 12.7% 13.9% 15.7% 14.6% 3.8%
Zachary Aronson 1.1% 0.8% 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 3.3% 4.9% 12.2% 72.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.