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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.87+3.38vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+2.25vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.51+2.13vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.12-0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.25+0.44vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.08-2.10vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.75-0.49vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.45-4.67vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.68-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Stanford University1.870.1%1st Place
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4.25College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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5.13Jacksonville University1.510.1%1st Place
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3.77Florida State University2.120.2%1st Place
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5.44University of Wisconsin1.250.1%1st Place
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3.9Tulane University2.080.2%1st Place
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6.51Rice University0.750.0%1st Place
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3.33Tulane University2.450.2%1st Place
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8.3Texas A&M University-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Sih | 12.1% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 0.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 11.6% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Hank Seum | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 3.2% |
| Peter Foley | 16.8% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 6.5% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Ricky Miller | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 18.2% | 31.4% | 13.7% |
| Kelly Holthus | 23.6% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Aronson | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 12.7% | 73.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.