Race 14A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelly Holthus 22.6% 19.6% 15.2% 16.6% 9.6% 8.4% 6.1% 1.9% 0.0%
Dylan Sih 9.2% 11.6% 14.2% 14.1% 15.3% 14.5% 10.9% 8.1% 2.1%
Matheo Graham-capasso 15.1% 15.1% 13.6% 15.1% 14.7% 11.2% 10.9% 3.6% 0.7%
Emma Tallman 15.2% 14.6% 15.8% 15.1% 12.8% 11.6% 9.7% 4.5% 0.7%
Peter Foley 17.2% 18.6% 14.9% 11.2% 13.0% 10.7% 8.4% 4.7% 1.3%
Ricky Miller 4.0% 4.2% 5.5% 6.2% 8.2% 9.5% 16.7% 32.8% 12.9%
Charlie Herrick 6.2% 6.7% 8.8% 8.1% 11.4% 16.2% 17.1% 19.9% 5.6%
Hank Seum 9.4% 8.5% 10.6% 11.7% 12.5% 14.8% 15.0% 14.0% 3.5%
Zachary Aronson 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.9% 2.5% 3.1% 5.2% 10.5% 73.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.