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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.84+1.44vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.58+2.64vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21+3.36vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.16+1.49vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.29-1.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-1.31vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.61+0.11vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.20-1.81vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-3.31vs Predicted
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10Bates College-2.03-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44University of Rhode Island1.840.4%1st Place
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4.64University of Vermont0.580.1%1st Place
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6.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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5.49Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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3.22Roger Williams University1.290.2%1st Place
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4.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.1%1st Place
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7.11McGill University-0.610.0%1st Place
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6.19Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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9.17Bates College-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Grainger | 37.5% | 24.9% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 9.5% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 6.6% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 2.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 20.3% | 22.9% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Odell | 10.3% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Curtis Mallory | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 25.7% | 11.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 5.2% |
| William Delong | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 3.0% |
| Georgia Green | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 12.2% | 70.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.