Race 2A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Owen Grainger 36.6% 24.3% 17.4% 10.0% 6.4% 3.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Zach Earnshaw 5.7% 4.7% 6.0% 8.8% 9.8% 11.4% 13.4% 16.8% 17.7% 5.7%
Caroline Odell 9.3% 11.5% 11.4% 11.8% 15.3% 14.6% 12.0% 8.7% 4.6% 0.8%
Richard Kalich 4.9% 8.7% 11.0% 10.4% 12.9% 14.0% 14.3% 12.1% 9.7% 2.0%
Jakub Fuja 20.2% 22.2% 18.1% 17.4% 8.8% 6.8% 3.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Zachary Amelotte 10.8% 11.0% 13.8% 13.6% 14.4% 12.9% 11.0% 7.4% 4.1% 1.0%
William Delong 5.2% 6.8% 8.7% 10.6% 14.7% 12.6% 15.2% 14.3% 9.5% 2.4%
Sean Morrison 4.0% 5.4% 8.4% 9.2% 8.5% 12.2% 14.1% 16.6% 16.0% 5.6%
Georgia Green 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 4.3% 5.5% 11.8% 70.1%
Curtis Mallory 2.5% 4.4% 4.2% 6.5% 7.3% 10.3% 10.7% 15.8% 26.0% 12.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.