Race 3A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Owen Grainger 35.0% 25.6% 16.8% 10.7% 5.7% 4.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Zach Earnshaw 5.5% 4.1% 6.8% 9.2% 9.3% 11.1% 14.6% 15.6% 17.1% 6.7%
Sean Morrison 4.1% 5.8% 7.0% 7.6% 8.5% 12.0% 14.2% 17.4% 17.3% 6.1%
Jakub Fuja 19.1% 21.8% 18.7% 16.3% 10.7% 7.0% 3.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Zachary Amelotte 11.8% 10.5% 13.2% 13.2% 14.9% 14.2% 10.8% 6.6% 3.9% 0.9%
Richard Kalich 7.5% 7.3% 8.8% 11.7% 13.3% 13.5% 13.5% 12.3% 9.2% 2.9%
William Delong 5.1% 7.3% 8.9% 11.4% 12.9% 13.5% 14.8% 14.0% 8.6% 3.5%
Caroline Odell 8.6% 13.6% 12.8% 12.9% 14.7% 12.6% 11.6% 7.4% 5.0% 0.8%
Curtis Mallory 2.7% 3.3% 5.9% 5.5% 7.0% 9.5% 12.0% 17.0% 26.4% 10.7%
Colin Kenny 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 3.0% 2.6% 3.5% 6.8% 11.9% 68.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.