Race 4A

salt-pond-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Odell 9.8% 12.4% 12.2% 14.9% 11.9% 13.3% 11.3% 8.4% 4.4% 1.4%
Jakub Fuja 19.8% 21.8% 17.8% 14.9% 11.2% 7.9% 3.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Zach Earnshaw 4.8% 4.8% 7.4% 7.4% 8.7% 11.3% 16.3% 16.7% 16.2% 6.4%
Owen Grainger 34.5% 24.8% 18.7% 10.8% 6.8% 2.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Amelotte 10.8% 10.9% 13.6% 14.3% 15.3% 13.0% 9.8% 7.5% 4.0% 0.8%
Richard Kalich 7.6% 7.0% 9.0% 11.0% 13.2% 14.4% 13.5% 11.6% 9.4% 3.3%
Curtis Mallory 2.2% 3.4% 4.1% 6.8% 7.5% 8.8% 13.6% 17.0% 25.1% 11.5%
Sean Morrison 4.1% 6.1% 7.6% 7.6% 10.6% 12.3% 14.3% 16.7% 15.7% 5.0%
William Delong 5.6% 7.9% 9.2% 10.1% 12.4% 13.9% 13.2% 13.1% 11.5% 3.1%
Colin Kenny 0.8% 0.9% 0.4% 2.2% 2.4% 3.0% 3.0% 6.1% 12.8% 68.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.